Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.524499 1.734753 1.965272 2.237059 2.549125 2.896674 3.313712
2025-10-26 1.201079 1.473233 1.796079 2.208450 2.722848 3.345525 4.159722
2025-11-02 0.957800 1.249616 1.619058 2.123516 2.798198 3.674703 4.908326
2025-11-09 0.770429 1.058721 1.444314 2.001595 2.792795 3.885345 5.524840
2025-11-16 0.659178 0.948233 1.354077 1.971034 2.895077 4.243197 6.387485
2025-11-23 0.570193 0.853997 1.269954 1.931382 2.970601 4.563703 7.235008
2025-11-30 0.529914 0.824302 1.273571 2.019041 3.244869 5.215153 8.691147
2025-12-07 0.486122 0.782450 1.251507 2.060508 3.447272 5.775198 10.079426
2025-12-14 0.437322 0.725862 1.197888 2.041049 3.542085 6.163914 11.225216
2025-12-21 0.387290 0.660918 1.122108 1.972595 3.539887 6.378973 12.081986
2025-12-28 0.368749 0.647294 1.131260 2.053330 3.813885 7.125082 14.056225
2026-01-04 0.350643 0.632085 1.135310 2.124142 4.076916 7.883651 16.173371
2026-01-11 0.328371 0.607862 1.122151 2.164574 4.294405 8.599757 18.360178
2026-01-18 0.306902 0.582781 1.104631 2.194548 4.496024 9.315538 20.679882
2026-01-25 0.277804 0.539796 1.047904 2.138364 4.511130 9.642889 22.188530
2026-02-01 0.246506 0.489069 0.970276 2.028895 4.396412 9.670567 23.000347
2026-02-08 0.227317 0.460749 0.934751 2.004488 4.465687 10.119485 24.912689
2026-02-15 0.208980 0.432239 0.895703 1.967354 4.500539 10.493156 26.703764
2026-02-22 0.203567 0.430432 0.912870 2.058445 4.848034 11.664399 30.795835
2026-03-01 0.194511 0.419751 0.909539 2.101639 5.085989 12.602368 34.441642
2026-03-08 0.181459 0.398878 0.881317 2.082195 5.165380 13.148761 37.094582
2026-03-15 0.166050 0.371164 0.834737 2.012482 5.106764 13.324636 38.704898
2026-03-22 0.162192 0.369659 0.848681 2.095062 5.459194 14.663706 44.087503